Baseball Projection.com

Scott Feldman

Age: 26 Team: TEX
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
4 3 66 71 6 26 43 4 36 33 4.5 58 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 50 62 24 30 7 4 5.94
20th 54 63 24 34 6 4 5.17
30th 58 66 25 37 6 4 4.97
40th 62 69 25 40 6 4 4.79
50th 66 71 26 43 6 4 4.50
60th 67 71 26 45 6 4 4.30
70th 69 71 25 46 5 4 4.04
80th 71 71 25 48 5 3 3.93
90th 74 69 24 51 4 3 3.41

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
4 0.4 2.2

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 26 67 69 26 47 6 4 4.26 1.0 0.2 0.8
2010 27 60 62 23 42 5 3 4.19 1.0 0.3 1.4
2011 28 54 56 20 37 5 3 4.26 1.0 0.2 1.0
2012 29 49 51 18 33 4 3 4.20 1.0 0.2 1.1
2013 30 43 46 17 29 4 3 4.53 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 31 40 41 15 26 3 2 4.07 1.0 0.2 1.3

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.