Simon Ferrer
Age: 29
Team: COL
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
9 |
116 |
151 |
27 |
68 |
45 |
6 |
101 |
93 |
7.22 |
22 |
22 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
85 |
132 |
63 |
29 |
28 |
7 |
9.85 |
| 20th |
93 |
137 |
64 |
33 |
28 |
7 |
9.00 |
| 30th |
101 |
141 |
65 |
37 |
27 |
7 |
8.29 |
| 40th |
108 |
146 |
67 |
41 |
27 |
6 |
7.75 |
| 50th |
116 |
151 |
68 |
45 |
27 |
6 |
7.22 |
| 60th |
120 |
150 |
67 |
48 |
26 |
5 |
6.75 |
| 70th |
123 |
149 |
66 |
50 |
24 |
5 |
6.29 |
| 80th |
128 |
146 |
64 |
54 |
22 |
4 |
5.63 |
| 90th |
133 |
144 |
61 |
58 |
20 |
3 |
5.08 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2 |
0.2 |
1.3 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
29 |
118 |
147 |
67 |
45 |
25 |
6 |
6.75 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
30 |
106 |
132 |
62 |
40 |
23 |
5 |
6.82 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
31 |
95 |
118 |
57 |
35 |
20 |
5 |
6.83 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
32 |
85 |
107 |
52 |
31 |
18 |
4 |
6.94 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
33 |
76 |
96 |
48 |
27 |
16 |
4 |
7.04 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
34 |
68 |
87 |
44 |
24 |
15 |
3 |
7.21 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.