Gavin Floyd
Age: 26
Team: CHA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 8 |
11 |
172 |
193 |
28 |
61 |
122 |
8 |
105 |
97 |
5.08 |
29 |
29 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
132 |
165 |
54 |
89 |
27 |
8 |
6.27 |
| 20th |
142 |
171 |
56 |
98 |
27 |
8 |
5.89 |
| 30th |
153 |
178 |
57 |
106 |
27 |
8 |
5.47 |
| 40th |
162 |
186 |
59 |
114 |
28 |
8 |
5.33 |
| 50th |
172 |
193 |
61 |
122 |
28 |
8 |
5.08 |
| 60th |
176 |
193 |
61 |
126 |
27 |
8 |
4.86 |
| 70th |
181 |
193 |
60 |
130 |
26 |
7 |
4.62 |
| 80th |
185 |
192 |
59 |
135 |
25 |
7 |
4.43 |
| 90th |
191 |
191 |
57 |
141 |
24 |
6 |
4.10 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 22 |
2.1 |
9.6 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
26 |
176 |
183 |
60 |
130 |
24 |
8 |
4.49 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
9.2 |
| 2010 |
27 |
159 |
165 |
53 |
116 |
21 |
7 |
4.43 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
9.7 |
| 2011 |
28 |
143 |
149 |
47 |
103 |
19 |
7 |
4.45 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
9.6 |
| 2012 |
29 |
129 |
135 |
41 |
92 |
17 |
6 |
4.43 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
9.5 |
| 2013 |
30 |
115 |
122 |
38 |
82 |
16 |
5 |
4.57 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
8.0 |
| 2014 |
31 |
103 |
110 |
35 |
72 |
14 |
5 |
4.63 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
7.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.