Baseball Projection.com

Jesse Foppert

Age: 28 Team: SFN
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
1 2 26 28 4 20 19 1 19 18 6.23 25 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 18 26 19 12 5 2 10.00
20th 20 27 19 14 5 1 8.55
30th 22 27 19 16 4 1 7.36
40th 24 27 20 17 4 1 6.75
50th 26 28 20 19 4 1 6.23
60th 27 28 20 20 4 1 5.67
70th 28 27 19 21 3 1 4.82
80th 29 27 18 23 3 0 4.34
90th 31 25 17 25 2 0 3.19

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 28 26 28 20 18 4 1 5.96 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 29 23 26 18 16 4 1 6.45 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 30 21 24 16 14 4 1 6.59 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 31 19 20 15 13 3 1 5.96 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 32 16 19 14 11 3 1 7.20 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 33 15 17 13 10 3 1 6.98 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.