Baseball Projection.com

Bartolome Fortunato

Age: 34 Team: SFN
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
1 2 21 24 3 14 15 1 15 14 6 20 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 15 22 13 10 4 1 9.60
20th 17 23 14 11 4 1 8.47
30th 18 23 14 12 3 1 7.50
40th 20 23 14 14 3 1 6.30
50th 21 24 14 15 3 1 6.00
60th 22 24 14 16 3 1 5.73
70th 23 23 13 17 2 1 4.30
80th 24 23 13 18 2 0 4.13
90th 25 21 12 19 1 0 2.88

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
0 0.0 0.4

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 34 21 24 14 14 3 1 5.96 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 35 19 22 13 13 3 1 6.22 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 36 17 20 12 11 3 1 6.53 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 37 15 17 11 10 2 1 6.10 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 38 14 16 10 8 2 1 6.19 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 39 12 15 9 7 2 1 7.10 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.