Baseball Projection.com

Keith Foulke

Age: 36 Team: free
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 2 33 33 4 12 27 1 17 16 4.36 31 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 24 30 12 18 5 2 6.75
20th 26 32 12 20 5 1 6.23
30th 29 31 12 23 4 1 4.97
40th 31 32 12 25 4 1 4.65
50th 33 33 12 27 4 1 4.36
60th 34 33 12 28 4 1 3.97
70th 35 32 11 30 3 1 3.34
80th 37 31 10 32 3 0 2.92
90th 39 29 9 34 2 0 2.08

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
3 0.3 1.7

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 36 33 33 12 27 4 1 4.22 1.0 0.1 0.4
2010 37 30 30 11 24 4 1 4.32 1.0 0.1 0.5
2011 38 26 27 10 21 3 1 4.44 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 39 24 25 9 18 3 1 4.51 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 40 21 22 8 16 3 1 4.70 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 41 19 20 8 14 3 1 4.95 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.