Frank Francisco
Age: 29
Team: TEX
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 5 |
2 |
61 |
52 |
5 |
26 |
68 |
2 |
25 |
23 |
3.39 |
58 |
0 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
46 |
47 |
24 |
48 |
6 |
3 |
4.89 |
| 20th |
50 |
48 |
25 |
53 |
6 |
2 |
4.32 |
| 30th |
54 |
49 |
25 |
58 |
5 |
2 |
3.83 |
| 40th |
58 |
50 |
26 |
63 |
5 |
2 |
3.57 |
| 50th |
61 |
52 |
26 |
68 |
5 |
2 |
3.39 |
| 60th |
63 |
52 |
25 |
71 |
5 |
2 |
3.14 |
| 70th |
65 |
51 |
25 |
73 |
4 |
2 |
2.77 |
| 80th |
67 |
49 |
24 |
77 |
3 |
1 |
2.42 |
| 90th |
69 |
48 |
23 |
81 |
3 |
1 |
2.22 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 12 |
1.9 |
8.8 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
29 |
62 |
49 |
26 |
74 |
5 |
2 |
3.09 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
7.7 |
| 2010 |
30 |
56 |
44 |
24 |
65 |
4 |
2 |
3.03 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
7.9 |
| 2011 |
31 |
50 |
41 |
22 |
58 |
4 |
1 |
3.23 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
6.2 |
| 2012 |
32 |
45 |
36 |
20 |
52 |
3 |
1 |
3.06 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
7.5 |
| 2013 |
33 |
40 |
33 |
19 |
45 |
3 |
1 |
3.31 |
1.4 |
0.8 |
5.3 |
| 2014 |
34 |
36 |
30 |
17 |
40 |
3 |
1 |
3.41 |
1.3 |
0.6 |
4.5 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.