Jeff Francis
Age: 28
Team: COL
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 9 |
9 |
169 |
187 |
20 |
53 |
117 |
6 |
93 |
86 |
4.58 |
28 |
28 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
129 |
159 |
48 |
85 |
20 |
7 |
5.65 |
| 20th |
139 |
166 |
49 |
94 |
20 |
6 |
5.24 |
| 30th |
149 |
173 |
50 |
102 |
20 |
6 |
5.01 |
| 40th |
159 |
180 |
52 |
109 |
20 |
6 |
4.75 |
| 50th |
169 |
187 |
53 |
117 |
20 |
6 |
4.58 |
| 60th |
173 |
187 |
52 |
121 |
19 |
6 |
4.32 |
| 70th |
177 |
187 |
52 |
125 |
18 |
5 |
4.12 |
| 80th |
181 |
186 |
51 |
129 |
17 |
5 |
3.93 |
| 90th |
186 |
185 |
49 |
135 |
16 |
4 |
3.63 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 25 |
2.4 |
11.0 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
28 |
170 |
182 |
53 |
117 |
19 |
6 |
4.34 |
1.0 |
2.4 |
10.5 |
| 2010 |
29 |
154 |
165 |
46 |
104 |
17 |
5 |
4.30 |
1.0 |
2.2 |
10.6 |
| 2011 |
30 |
138 |
148 |
43 |
92 |
15 |
5 |
4.33 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
10.1 |
| 2012 |
31 |
124 |
134 |
39 |
82 |
14 |
4 |
4.40 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
9.5 |
| 2013 |
32 |
111 |
121 |
36 |
72 |
12 |
4 |
4.45 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
9.2 |
| 2014 |
33 |
100 |
109 |
33 |
64 |
11 |
3 |
4.46 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
8.8 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.