Brian Fuentes
Age: 33
Team: LAA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
3 |
62 |
56 |
5 |
23 |
63 |
3 |
26 |
24 |
3.48 |
66 |
0 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
46 |
50 |
22 |
44 |
6 |
4 |
5.28 |
| 20th |
50 |
52 |
22 |
49 |
6 |
3 |
4.68 |
| 30th |
54 |
53 |
22 |
54 |
5 |
3 |
4.17 |
| 40th |
58 |
54 |
23 |
58 |
5 |
3 |
3.72 |
| 50th |
62 |
56 |
23 |
63 |
5 |
3 |
3.48 |
| 60th |
64 |
56 |
22 |
66 |
5 |
3 |
3.38 |
| 70th |
66 |
55 |
22 |
68 |
4 |
2 |
2.86 |
| 80th |
68 |
53 |
21 |
71 |
3 |
2 |
2.51 |
| 90th |
70 |
52 |
20 |
75 |
3 |
1 |
2.31 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 9 |
1.2 |
5.7 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
33 |
63 |
54 |
23 |
67 |
5 |
3 |
3.30 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
5.5 |
| 2010 |
34 |
56 |
49 |
21 |
59 |
5 |
3 |
3.49 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
4.1 |
| 2011 |
35 |
50 |
44 |
20 |
52 |
4 |
2 |
3.47 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
3.9 |
| 2012 |
36 |
45 |
40 |
18 |
46 |
4 |
2 |
3.59 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
3.2 |
| 2013 |
37 |
40 |
36 |
17 |
40 |
3 |
2 |
3.61 |
1.1 |
0.5 |
3.5 |
| 2014 |
38 |
36 |
33 |
15 |
35 |
3 |
2 |
3.75 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
2.0 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.