Baseball Projection.com

Kazuo Fukumori

Age: 32 Team: TEX
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 3 48 53 5 20 31 2 27 25 4.69 43 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 35 47 19 21 6 3 6.94
20th 39 49 19 23 6 2 6.23
30th 42 50 19 26 5 2 5.36
40th 45 51 20 28 5 2 5.00
50th 48 53 20 31 5 2 4.69
60th 49 53 20 32 5 2 4.59
70th 51 52 19 34 4 2 4.06
80th 53 51 18 36 3 1 3.40
90th 55 50 17 39 3 1 3.11

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
3 0.3 1.7

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 32 49 51 20 34 5 2 4.42 1.0 0.1 0.4
2010 33 44 46 18 30 4 2 4.38 1.0 0.1 0.5
2011 34 39 42 17 26 4 1 4.63 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 35 35 37 16 23 3 1 4.48 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 36 32 34 14 20 3 1 4.52 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 37 28 31 13 18 3 1 4.92 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.