Baseball Projection.com

Mike Gallo

Age: 32 Team: TOR
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 3 42 49 7 22 23 2 29 27 5.79 39 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 30 45 21 14 8 3 9.30
20th 33 46 21 17 8 3 8.18
30th 37 47 21 19 8 2 7.05
40th 39 48 22 21 7 2 6.46
50th 42 49 22 23 7 2 5.79
60th 44 48 21 24 6 2 5.11
70th 45 48 21 26 6 1 4.80
80th 47 46 20 28 5 1 4.02
90th 49 45 18 30 4 1 3.49

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 32 43 48 22 24 6 2 5.36 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 33 38 44 20 21 6 2 5.76 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 34 34 39 18 19 5 2 5.66 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 35 31 36 17 17 5 1 5.80 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 36 27 32 16 15 4 1 5.98 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 37 25 29 14 13 4 1 5.85 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.