Baseball Projection.com

Jerome Gamble

Age: 29 Team: ATL
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 2 39 40 5 18 31 2 22 20 4.62 35 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 29 36 17 21 6 2 6.83
20th 32 37 17 24 6 2 5.91
30th 34 38 17 26 5 2 5.29
40th 37 39 18 28 5 2 4.86
50th 39 40 18 31 5 2 4.62
60th 40 40 18 32 5 2 4.50
70th 42 39 17 34 4 2 3.86
80th 44 38 16 36 4 1 3.48
90th 45 37 15 38 3 1 3.00

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
2 0.2 1.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 29 39 41 18 29 5 2 4.82 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 30 35 38 16 26 5 1 5.02 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 31 31 34 15 23 4 1 5.06 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 32 28 31 14 20 4 1 5.27 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 33 25 27 13 18 3 1 5.04 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 34 23 24 12 16 3 1 4.95 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.