Baseball Projection.com

Michael Garciaparra

Age: 26 Team: MIL

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
91	299	38	75	12	2	4	30	5	2	29	69	4	0.251	0.325	0.344	-22	2B	4.5

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-16	0	156	32	4	0	1	12	41	1	0.205	0.266	0.250
20th	-16	0	193	42	6	1	1	16	49	1	0.218	0.281	0.275
30th	-17	0	229	52	7	1	2	20	57	2	0.227	0.295	0.293
40th	-15	0	264	64	10	1	3	24	63	3	0.242	0.313	0.322
50th	-12	0	299	75	12	2	4	29	69	4	0.251	0.325	0.344
60th	-9	3	349	92	16	3	5	36	78	5	0.264	0.341	0.370
70th	-3	11	398	109	20	4	6	44	86	7	0.274	0.356	0.389
80th	2	18	447	127	24	5	8	52	93	8	0.284	0.369	0.414
90th	11	29	494	147	29	7	10	61	99	10	0.298	0.386	0.445

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	26	301	76	12	2	3	5	2	27	68	4	0.252	0.322	0.336
2010	27	300	75	12	2	3	5	2	28	68	4	0.250	0.322	0.333
2011	28	300	74	12	2	3	4	2	28	68	4	0.247	0.319	0.330
2012	29	299	73	12	2	3	4	2	29	68	4	0.244	0.319	0.328
2013	30	284	69	11	1	3	4	2	28	65	3	0.243	0.317	0.320
2014	31	269	65	11	1	3	3	1	27	61	3	0.242	0.318	0.323

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	-1	-1	-6	-14	1	-7	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	1.4	6.2
Good (+7 runs)	1.1	4.8
Average (0 runs)	0.8	3.5
Poor (-7 runs)	0.5	2.2
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.3	1.3

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	6

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.