Dave Gassner
Age: 30
Team: BOS
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
5 |
80 |
101 |
14 |
27 |
31 |
3 |
56 |
52 |
5.85 |
16 |
16 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
59 |
89 |
25 |
20 |
15 |
4 |
8.08 |
| 20th |
65 |
92 |
26 |
23 |
15 |
3 |
7.20 |
| 30th |
70 |
94 |
26 |
26 |
14 |
3 |
6.56 |
| 40th |
75 |
98 |
27 |
28 |
14 |
3 |
6.24 |
| 50th |
80 |
101 |
27 |
31 |
14 |
3 |
5.85 |
| 60th |
82 |
100 |
26 |
33 |
13 |
3 |
5.49 |
| 70th |
84 |
100 |
26 |
34 |
12 |
2 |
5.14 |
| 80th |
87 |
98 |
25 |
36 |
11 |
2 |
4.55 |
| 90th |
90 |
96 |
24 |
39 |
10 |
2 |
4.20 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 3 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
30 |
80 |
100 |
27 |
34 |
15 |
3 |
5.84 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
31 |
72 |
90 |
25 |
30 |
13 |
2 |
5.79 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
32 |
65 |
81 |
23 |
26 |
12 |
2 |
5.83 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
33 |
58 |
73 |
21 |
23 |
11 |
2 |
5.96 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
34 |
52 |
66 |
19 |
21 |
10 |
2 |
6.06 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
35 |
46 |
60 |
18 |
18 |
9 |
1 |
6.28 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.