Baseball Projection.com

Chris George

Age: 29 Team: COL
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 3 56 61 7 27 43 2 33 31 4.98 50 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 42 54 25 30 8 2 6.64
20th 46 55 25 34 7 2 6.07
30th 49 57 26 37 7 2 5.69
40th 53 59 26 40 7 2 5.26
50th 56 61 27 43 7 2 4.98
60th 58 61 27 45 7 2 4.81
70th 60 60 26 46 6 2 4.20
80th 61 60 26 49 6 1 4.13
90th 63 59 25 51 5 1 3.71

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
2 0.2 1.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 29 57 59 27 43 6 2 4.55 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 30 51 54 25 38 6 2 4.81 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 31 46 48 22 34 5 2 4.65 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 32 41 43 21 30 5 2 4.88 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 33 37 39 19 26 4 1 4.75 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 34 33 36 17 23 4 1 5.04 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.