Baseball Projection.com

Jon George

Age: 24 Team: COL
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 3 47 57 9 19 23 2 33 31 5.94 43 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 34 52 19 14 10 3 8.74
20th 37 53 19 16 10 3 8.03
30th 41 54 19 19 10 2 6.80
40th 44 55 19 21 9 2 6.34
50th 47 57 19 23 9 2 5.94
60th 49 56 18 24 8 2 5.33
70th 51 56 18 26 8 1 4.94
80th 53 53 17 28 6 1 4.08
90th 55 52 15 30 5 0 3.44

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
2 0.2 1.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 48 55 19 23 8 2 5.35 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 25 43 49 17 21 7 2 5.30 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 26 39 45 15 18 7 2 5.47 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 27 35 41 13 17 6 1 5.39 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 28 32 37 11 15 6 1 5.36 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 29 29 33 10 13 5 1 5.18 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.