Baseball Projection.com

Franklyn German

Age: 29 Team: CHA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 3 46 48 6 30 38 2 29 27 5.28 42 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 33 43 28 26 7 3 8.18
20th 36 45 28 29 7 2 7.25
30th 40 45 29 32 6 2 6.08
40th 43 47 29 35 6 2 5.65
50th 46 48 30 38 6 2 5.28
60th 47 48 29 40 6 2 5.17
70th 49 47 29 42 5 2 4.41
80th 51 46 28 44 4 1 3.88
90th 52 45 27 47 4 1 3.63

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
2 0.2 1.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 29 47 45 30 40 5 2 4.64 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 30 42 41 27 36 5 2 4.85 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 31 38 37 25 32 4 1 4.72 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 32 33 34 23 28 4 1 5.24 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 33 30 30 21 25 3 1 4.94 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 34 27 27 19 22 3 1 5.05 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.