Kyle Ginley
Age: 22
Team: TOR
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 2 |
6 |
71 |
85 |
16 |
44 |
39 |
4 |
57 |
53 |
6.72 |
16 |
16 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
51 |
77 |
42 |
24 |
18 |
5 |
10.06 |
| 20th |
56 |
79 |
42 |
28 |
17 |
5 |
9.00 |
| 30th |
61 |
81 |
43 |
32 |
17 |
5 |
8.26 |
| 40th |
66 |
83 |
43 |
35 |
16 |
4 |
7.36 |
| 50th |
71 |
85 |
44 |
39 |
16 |
4 |
6.72 |
| 60th |
73 |
84 |
43 |
41 |
15 |
3 |
6.16 |
| 70th |
76 |
83 |
42 |
44 |
14 |
3 |
5.68 |
| 80th |
80 |
80 |
40 |
47 |
12 |
2 |
4.84 |
| 90th |
83 |
77 |
38 |
51 |
10 |
1 |
4.12 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 3 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
22 |
71 |
84 |
44 |
41 |
15 |
4 |
6.56 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
23 |
64 |
75 |
39 |
38 |
13 |
4 |
6.43 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
24 |
58 |
68 |
34 |
35 |
12 |
4 |
6.41 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
25 |
53 |
61 |
30 |
32 |
11 |
3 |
6.20 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
26 |
47 |
55 |
27 |
28 |
10 |
3 |
6.39 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
27 |
42 |
50 |
24 |
25 |
9 |
3 |
6.52 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.