Tom Glavine
Age: 43
Team: ATL
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
5 |
83 |
99 |
11 |
37 |
45 |
3 |
55 |
51 |
5.53 |
15 |
15 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
63 |
86 |
33 |
32 |
12 |
3 |
7.00 |
| 20th |
69 |
88 |
34 |
35 |
11 |
3 |
6.26 |
| 30th |
73 |
92 |
35 |
39 |
11 |
3 |
6.04 |
| 40th |
79 |
95 |
36 |
42 |
11 |
3 |
5.58 |
| 50th |
83 |
99 |
37 |
45 |
11 |
3 |
5.53 |
| 60th |
86 |
98 |
37 |
47 |
10 |
3 |
5.02 |
| 70th |
88 |
99 |
36 |
49 |
10 |
3 |
4.91 |
| 80th |
91 |
98 |
35 |
51 |
9 |
2 |
4.45 |
| 90th |
93 |
97 |
34 |
53 |
8 |
2 |
4.16 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 3 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
43 |
83 |
101 |
37 |
42 |
11 |
3 |
5.60 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
44 |
74 |
92 |
34 |
37 |
11 |
2 |
5.86 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
45 |
66 |
83 |
31 |
32 |
10 |
2 |
6.00 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
46 |
60 |
75 |
28 |
28 |
9 |
2 |
5.95 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
47 |
53 |
68 |
26 |
24 |
8 |
2 |
6.22 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
48 |
48 |
62 |
24 |
21 |
8 |
1 |
6.34 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.