Baseball Projection.com

Jimmy Gobble

Age: 27 Team: TEX
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
4 3 60 61 7 28 56 3 33 31 4.65 61 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 45 54 26 39 8 4 6.20
20th 48 56 27 43 8 3 6.00
30th 53 57 27 48 7 3 5.26
40th 56 59 28 52 7 3 4.98
50th 60 61 28 56 7 3 4.65
60th 62 60 27 58 6 3 4.21
70th 64 60 27 61 6 2 3.94
80th 66 58 26 64 5 2 3.41
90th 68 57 24 68 4 2 2.91

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
5 0.5 2.6

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 27 61 58 28 61 6 3 4.10 1.0 0.3 1.3
2010 28 55 53 25 55 6 2 4.19 1.0 0.2 0.9
2011 29 50 47 22 49 5 2 3.99 1.0 0.3 1.5
2012 30 44 43 20 43 5 2 4.32 1.0 0.1 0.6
2013 31 40 39 18 38 4 2 4.21 1.0 0.2 1.2
2014 32 36 35 17 34 4 2 4.35 1.0 0.1 0.7

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.