Baseball Projection.com

Alex Gonzalez

Age: 32 Team: CIN

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
115	400	49	103	23	1	12	49	2	1	28	74	4	0.258	0.312	0.410	-17	SS	3.5

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-2	0	16	3	1	0	0	1	3	0	0.188	0.235	0.250
20th	-8	0	113	26	5	0	2	7	23	1	0.230	0.281	0.327
30th	-12	0	210	50	10	0	5	13	41	2	0.238	0.289	0.357
40th	-13	0	305	76	16	1	8	20	58	3	0.249	0.302	0.387
50th	-12	2	400	103	23	1	12	28	74	4	0.258	0.313	0.410
60th	-7	8	432	116	27	1	14	32	77	5	0.269	0.326	0.433
70th	-1	15	464	128	30	2	16	36	81	6	0.276	0.336	0.453
80th	4	21	496	143	35	2	19	40	83	8	0.288	0.351	0.482
90th	13	32	527	156	40	3	21	45	85	9	0.296	0.361	0.503

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	32	401	102	23	1	10	2	1	27	75	4	0.254	0.308	0.392
2010	33	381	95	21	1	9	2	1	25	72	4	0.249	0.302	0.381
2011	34	362	89	19	1	9	1	1	24	70	4	0.246	0.300	0.378
2012	35	344	82	17	1	8	1	0	23	67	4	0.238	0.294	0.363
2013	36	327	77	16	1	8	1	0	22	64	3	0.235	0.290	0.364
2014	37	310	71	15	0	7	1	0	21	61	3	0.229	0.284	0.345

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	--	--	-8	--	--	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	2	8.8
Good (+7 runs)	1.5	6.6
Average (0 runs)	1.2	5.3
Poor (-7 runs)	0.9	4
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.5	2.2

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	7
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	14

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.