Enrique Gonzalez
Age: 26
Team: BOS
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 6 |
7 |
113 |
127 |
13 |
52 |
69 |
4 |
69 |
64 |
5.1 |
23 |
23 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
85 |
110 |
47 |
48 |
14 |
5 |
6.67 |
| 20th |
92 |
114 |
48 |
54 |
14 |
4 |
6.07 |
| 30th |
99 |
118 |
49 |
59 |
13 |
4 |
5.64 |
| 40th |
106 |
122 |
51 |
64 |
13 |
4 |
5.35 |
| 50th |
113 |
127 |
52 |
69 |
13 |
4 |
5.10 |
| 60th |
116 |
127 |
51 |
72 |
12 |
4 |
4.73 |
| 70th |
119 |
126 |
51 |
75 |
11 |
3 |
4.46 |
| 80th |
122 |
125 |
50 |
78 |
10 |
3 |
4.13 |
| 90th |
126 |
124 |
48 |
82 |
9 |
2 |
3.79 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 10 |
1.0 |
4.8 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
26 |
113 |
125 |
52 |
75 |
14 |
4 |
5.02 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
2.9 |
| 2010 |
27 |
102 |
113 |
46 |
67 |
12 |
3 |
4.94 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
3.2 |
| 2011 |
28 |
92 |
102 |
41 |
60 |
11 |
3 |
4.95 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
3.5 |
| 2012 |
29 |
83 |
92 |
36 |
53 |
10 |
3 |
4.93 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
3.3 |
| 2013 |
30 |
75 |
83 |
33 |
47 |
9 |
2 |
4.91 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
3.7 |
| 2014 |
31 |
67 |
75 |
30 |
42 |
8 |
2 |
5.00 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.7 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.