Reidier Gonzalez
Age: 23
Team: TOR
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
7 |
96 |
118 |
18 |
46 |
39 |
3 |
70 |
65 |
6.09 |
18 |
18 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
71 |
105 |
44 |
24 |
20 |
4 |
8.62 |
| 20th |
77 |
108 |
44 |
28 |
19 |
4 |
7.83 |
| 30th |
84 |
111 |
44 |
32 |
19 |
4 |
7.07 |
| 40th |
90 |
115 |
45 |
35 |
18 |
3 |
6.50 |
| 50th |
96 |
118 |
46 |
39 |
18 |
3 |
6.09 |
| 60th |
99 |
117 |
45 |
41 |
17 |
3 |
5.73 |
| 70th |
103 |
116 |
44 |
44 |
16 |
2 |
5.16 |
| 80th |
107 |
113 |
42 |
47 |
14 |
1 |
4.54 |
| 90th |
111 |
110 |
40 |
51 |
12 |
1 |
3.97 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 5 |
0.5 |
2.6 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
23 |
96 |
118 |
46 |
41 |
16 |
3 |
5.96 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
24 |
87 |
106 |
41 |
38 |
15 |
3 |
5.93 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
25 |
78 |
95 |
36 |
34 |
13 |
3 |
5.88 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
26 |
71 |
86 |
32 |
31 |
12 |
2 |
5.79 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
27 |
64 |
78 |
28 |
28 |
11 |
2 |
5.82 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
28 |
57 |
70 |
25 |
24 |
10 |
2 |
5.91 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.