Matthew Goodson
Age: 26
Team: BOS
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
4 |
64 |
72 |
14 |
39 |
35 |
3 |
48 |
44 |
6.19 |
14 |
14 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
46 |
65 |
36 |
23 |
15 |
4 |
9.20 |
| 20th |
51 |
66 |
37 |
26 |
15 |
4 |
8.12 |
| 30th |
55 |
69 |
37 |
29 |
15 |
3 |
7.53 |
| 40th |
60 |
70 |
38 |
32 |
14 |
3 |
6.60 |
| 50th |
64 |
72 |
39 |
35 |
14 |
3 |
6.19 |
| 60th |
66 |
71 |
38 |
37 |
13 |
3 |
5.86 |
| 70th |
68 |
70 |
38 |
39 |
12 |
2 |
5.29 |
| 80th |
71 |
68 |
36 |
42 |
11 |
2 |
4.69 |
| 90th |
74 |
66 |
34 |
45 |
9 |
1 |
3.89 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 3 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
26 |
64 |
72 |
39 |
38 |
15 |
3 |
6.35 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
27 |
58 |
64 |
35 |
34 |
13 |
3 |
6.17 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
28 |
52 |
58 |
31 |
30 |
12 |
2 |
6.21 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
29 |
47 |
53 |
27 |
27 |
11 |
2 |
6.25 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
30 |
42 |
48 |
25 |
24 |
10 |
2 |
6.43 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
31 |
37 |
43 |
23 |
21 |
9 |
2 |
6.67 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.