Baseball Projection.com

Nick Gorneault

Age: 30 Team: HOU

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
123	434	67	98	20	3	16	61	7	4	49	135	2	0.226	0.307	0.396	-19	OF	5.3

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-26	0	332	64	11	1	9	32	111	0	0.193	0.264	0.313
20th	-23	0	357	72	13	1	11	36	117	1	0.202	0.277	0.336
30th	-22	0	383	80	15	2	12	40	124	1	0.209	0.285	0.352
40th	-19	0	409	89	18	2	14	44	130	2	0.218	0.297	0.374
50th	-15	1	434	98	20	3	16	49	135	2	0.226	0.307	0.396
60th	-9	8	460	108	23	3	19	54	141	3	0.235	0.319	0.422
70th	-6	12	486	117	25	4	21	59	146	3	0.241	0.327	0.438
80th	1	20	512	127	28	5	23	64	151	4	0.248	0.336	0.457
90th	7	27	537	138	31	6	26	70	155	4	0.257	0.347	0.482

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	30	435	97	20	3	15	7	4	48	135	2	0.223	0.303	0.386
2010	31	413	91	19	2	14	6	3	46	128	2	0.220	0.302	0.378
2011	32	392	85	18	2	13	5	3	44	123	2	0.217	0.299	0.372
2012	33	372	79	16	2	12	5	3	42	118	2	0.212	0.296	0.363
2013	34	353	73	15	2	11	4	2	40	115	2	0.207	0.291	0.354
2014	35	334	67	14	1	10	3	2	39	110	2	0.201	0.288	0.338

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	--	--	--	3	-5	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	1.1	4.8
Good (+7 runs)	0.7	3.1
Average (0 runs)	0.4	1.8
Poor (-7 runs)	0.2	0.9
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.1	0.4

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	15

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.