Nick Green
Age: 24
Team: LAA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 7 |
10 |
153 |
173 |
31 |
50 |
88 |
5 |
98 |
91 |
5.35 |
26 |
26 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
116 |
149 |
46 |
63 |
31 |
6 |
6.75 |
| 20th |
125 |
155 |
46 |
69 |
31 |
6 |
6.34 |
| 30th |
135 |
161 |
47 |
76 |
31 |
5 |
5.87 |
| 40th |
144 |
167 |
49 |
82 |
31 |
5 |
5.63 |
| 50th |
153 |
173 |
50 |
88 |
31 |
5 |
5.35 |
| 60th |
156 |
173 |
49 |
91 |
30 |
5 |
5.13 |
| 70th |
161 |
172 |
49 |
95 |
29 |
4 |
4.75 |
| 80th |
165 |
171 |
47 |
99 |
27 |
4 |
4.47 |
| 90th |
170 |
168 |
46 |
104 |
25 |
3 |
4.08 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 9 |
0.9 |
4.4 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
24 |
153 |
170 |
51 |
94 |
32 |
5 |
5.28 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.1 |
| 2010 |
25 |
138 |
153 |
45 |
84 |
29 |
5 |
5.26 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.3 |
| 2011 |
26 |
125 |
138 |
40 |
75 |
26 |
4 |
5.20 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.5 |
| 2012 |
27 |
112 |
125 |
35 |
67 |
24 |
4 |
5.29 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
| 2013 |
28 |
101 |
113 |
31 |
60 |
21 |
3 |
5.22 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.5 |
| 2014 |
29 |
91 |
102 |
27 |
54 |
19 |
3 |
5.22 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
2.0 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.