Baseball Projection.com

Michael Griffin

Age: 25 Team: CIN

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
127	484	55	123	29	4	6	45	10	4	20	99	4	0.254	0.289	0.368	-31	3B	5.3

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-2	0	19	4	1	0	0	1	4	0	0.211	0.250	0.263
20th	-11	0	137	31	7	1	1	4	31	1	0.226	0.254	0.314
30th	-20	0	254	60	13	2	2	9	55	1	0.236	0.265	0.327
40th	-24	0	370	90	20	3	4	14	78	2	0.243	0.275	0.346
50th	-26	0	484	123	29	4	6	20	99	4	0.254	0.289	0.368
60th	-21	0	509	134	32	5	8	22	102	5	0.263	0.300	0.393
70th	-16	2	534	145	36	6	9	25	103	6	0.272	0.312	0.412
80th	-9	10	558	156	40	7	10	28	105	7	0.280	0.322	0.430
90th	-2	18	582	169	44	9	12	31	106	8	0.290	0.335	0.459

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	25	485	121	28	4	5	10	4	19	100	4	0.249	0.283	0.355
2010	26	484	122	28	4	6	10	4	20	98	4	0.252	0.287	0.364
2011	27	484	122	29	4	6	9	4	20	97	4	0.252	0.287	0.366
2012	28	483	120	28	3	6	9	4	21	97	4	0.248	0.285	0.356
2013	29	483	118	28	3	6	8	4	21	98	4	0.244	0.281	0.352
2014	30	458	111	26	3	5	7	3	21	93	4	0.242	0.282	0.345

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	-3	-10	-13	0	-8	-12

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	1.1	4.8
Good (+7 runs)	0.7	3.1
Average (0 runs)	0.4	1.8
Poor (-7 runs)	0.2	0.9
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.1	0.4

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	11

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.