Baseball Projection.com

Jarrett Grube

Age: 27 Team: COL
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 4 54 63 11 28 35 2 39 36 6 50 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 39 57 26 23 12 3 9.00
20th 43 58 27 26 12 3 7.95
30th 47 59 27 29 11 2 6.89
40th 50 61 28 32 11 2 6.48
50th 54 63 28 35 11 2 6.00
60th 56 62 27 37 10 2 5.46
70th 58 62 27 39 10 1 5.12
80th 60 60 26 41 9 1 4.65
90th 62 58 24 44 7 1 3.92

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 27 55 61 28 35 10 2 5.58 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 28 50 55 24 31 9 2 5.46 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 29 44 50 22 28 8 2 5.72 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 30 40 44 20 25 7 2 5.51 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 31 36 41 18 22 7 1 5.77 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 32 32 37 17 19 6 1 5.91 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.