Baseball Projection.com

Cristian Guzman

Age: 31 Team: WAS

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
125	477	61	137	26	5	7	41	5	2	28	57	3	0.287	0.331	0.407	-11	SS	5.4

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-1	0	19	5	1	0	0	1	3	0	0.263	0.300	0.316
20th	-7	0	135	35	6	1	1	7	18	0	0.259	0.296	0.341
30th	-10	0	250	68	12	2	3	13	32	1	0.272	0.311	0.372
40th	-10	2	364	102	19	3	5	20	45	2	0.280	0.321	0.390
50th	-9	7	477	137	26	5	7	28	57	3	0.287	0.331	0.407
60th	-5	12	503	149	30	5	8	31	58	4	0.296	0.342	0.423
70th	2	20	529	161	33	6	10	35	59	5	0.304	0.353	0.446
80th	7	26	555	174	36	8	11	38	59	6	0.314	0.364	0.467
90th	15	35	581	187	40	9	13	42	60	7	0.322	0.375	0.489

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	31	479	136	26	4	7	5	2	26	60	3	0.284	0.325	0.399
2010	32	455	128	24	4	7	5	2	25	58	3	0.281	0.323	0.398
2011	33	432	120	23	3	6	4	2	24	55	3	0.278	0.320	0.387
2012	34	410	112	21	3	6	3	2	23	54	3	0.273	0.317	0.383
2013	35	389	103	19	2	5	3	1	22	52	3	0.265	0.309	0.362
2014	36	369	96	18	2	5	3	1	21	49	3	0.260	0.305	0.360

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	--	--	0	--	--	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	2.6	11.4
Good (+7 runs)	2.1	9.2
Average (0 runs)	1.6	7
Poor (-7 runs)	1.2	5.3
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.8	3.5

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	11
12 team AL or NL only	1	2	17

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.