Baseball Projection.com

Garrett Guzman

Age: 26 Team: WAS

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
122	430	56	112	22	3	9	67	7	3	33	57	1	0.260	0.315	0.388	-16	OF	4.9

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-2	0	18	4	1	0	0	1	3	0	0.222	0.263	0.278
20th	-7	0	122	29	5	0	2	8	18	0	0.238	0.285	0.328
30th	-11	0	225	55	10	1	4	16	32	0	0.244	0.295	0.351
40th	-14	0	328	83	16	2	6	24	45	1	0.253	0.306	0.369
50th	-12	3	430	112	22	3	9	33	57	1	0.260	0.315	0.388
60th	-6	10	456	124	26	3	11	37	58	2	0.272	0.329	0.414
70th	-2	15	482	134	29	4	12	42	59	2	0.278	0.338	0.429
80th	3	21	507	146	32	5	14	46	59	3	0.288	0.351	0.454
90th	11	30	533	159	36	6	16	51	60	3	0.298	0.363	0.478

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	26	431	112	22	3	9	7	3	32	59	1	0.260	0.313	0.387
2010	27	431	111	22	2	9	7	3	32	59	1	0.258	0.310	0.381
2011	28	430	109	22	2	9	6	3	33	59	1	0.253	0.308	0.377
2012	29	429	108	22	2	9	6	3	34	59	1	0.252	0.308	0.375
2013	30	407	102	20	2	9	5	3	33	56	1	0.251	0.308	0.376
2014	31	386	96	19	2	8	4	2	32	53	1	0.249	0.308	0.370

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	--	--	--	-5	-14	-8

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	1.3	5.7
Good (+7 runs)	0.9	4
Average (0 runs)	0.6	2.6
Poor (-7 runs)	0.3	1.3
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.1	0.4

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	19

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.