Baseball Projection.com

Joel Guzman

Age: 24 Team: WAS

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
120	438	51	111	24	2	15	68	6	3	29	107	2	0.253	0.303	0.420	-15	OF	3.7

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-24	0	356	79	15	1	9	19	95	0	0.222	0.261	0.346
20th	-22	0	376	86	17	1	10	22	98	1	0.229	0.273	0.359
30th	-19	0	397	95	19	1	12	24	101	1	0.239	0.284	0.383
40th	-16	0	418	103	21	2	14	27	105	1	0.246	0.294	0.407
50th	-12	3	438	111	24	2	15	29	107	2	0.253	0.303	0.420
60th	-8	8	468	123	27	3	18	33	112	2	0.263	0.314	0.449
70th	-4	13	496	135	30	3	20	37	116	3	0.272	0.326	0.466
80th	4	22	527	147	34	4	22	40	121	3	0.279	0.333	0.484
90th	11	30	555	160	38	5	25	44	124	4	0.288	0.345	0.510

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	24	439	110	23	2	15	6	2	28	112	2	0.251	0.299	0.415
2010	25	438	110	24	2	15	6	2	29	109	2	0.251	0.301	0.418
2011	26	437	111	24	2	16	6	2	30	106	2	0.254	0.305	0.428
2012	27	436	111	24	2	16	5	2	31	105	2	0.255	0.307	0.429
2013	28	436	109	24	2	16	5	2	31	105	2	0.250	0.303	0.424
2014	29	435	107	23	1	16	5	2	32	106	2	0.246	0.301	0.414

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	-3	--	-6	-11	-1	-10	-8

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	1.2	5.3
Good (+7 runs)	0.8	3.5
Average (0 runs)	0.5	2.2
Poor (-7 runs)	0.3	1.3
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.1	0.4

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	19

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.