Baseball Projection.com

Eric Hacker

Age: 26 Team: NYA

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
6	6	103	116	14	43	62	5	63	58	5.07	21	21

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	76	103	40	42	16	6	7.22
20th	83	105	41	47	15	6	6.40
30th	90	109	41	52	15	5	5.90
40th	97	112	42	57	14	5	5.29
50th	103	116	43	62	14	5	5.07
60th	106	115	42	65	13	5	4.75
70th	109	114	41	68	12	4	4.38
80th	113	113	40	72	11	3	3.98
90th	117	110	38	76	9	3	3.46

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

11 1.0 4.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 26 104 113 44 66 13 5 4.85 1.0 0.9 3.8

2010 27 94 102 39 59 12 4 4.82 1.0 0.8 3.7

2011 28 84 92 35 52 11 4 4.91 1.0 0.6 3.0

2012 29 76 83 31 47 10 4 4.89 1.0 0.6 3.3

2013 30 68 76 28 41 9 3 5.01 1.0 0.4 2.5

2014 31 61 68 26 37 8 3 5.04 1.0 0.4 2.7

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
11	1.0	4.8

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	26	104	113	44	66	13	5	4.85	1.0	0.9	3.8
2010	27	94	102	39	59	12	4	4.82	1.0	0.8	3.7
2011	28	84	92	35	52	11	4	4.91	1.0	0.6	3.0
2012	29	76	83	31	47	10	4	4.89	1.0	0.6	3.3
2013	30	68	76	28	41	9	3	5.01	1.0	0.4	2.5
2014	31	61	68	26	37	8	3	5.04	1.0	0.4	2.7

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.