Baseball Projection.com

Charlie Haeger

Age: 25 Team: LAN

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
8	10	159	163	20	78	111	10	92	85	4.81	27	27

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	121	139	69	81	20	10	5.95
20th	131	145	71	89	20	10	5.56
30th	140	151	73	96	20	10	5.27
40th	150	157	76	103	20	10	4.98
50th	159	163	78	111	20	10	4.81
60th	163	163	78	115	19	10	4.58
70th	167	163	77	119	18	9	4.31
80th	172	162	76	123	17	8	4.03
90th	177	161	74	129	16	7	3.76

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

12 1.1 5.2

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 25 157 169 78 102 19 10 5.05 1.0 0.9 3.8

2010 26 142 152 69 91 17 9 4.98 1.0 1.0 4.6

2011 27 128 138 61 81 16 8 5.02 1.0 0.8 4.1

2012 28 115 125 54 73 14 7 5.02 1.0 0.7 3.9

2013 29 104 113 47 65 13 7 5.01 1.0 0.7 4.3

2014 30 93 102 43 57 11 6 5.04 1.0 0.6 4.0

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
12	1.1	5.2

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	25	157	169	78	102	19	10	5.05	1.0	0.9	3.8
2010	26	142	152	69	91	17	9	4.98	1.0	1.0	4.6
2011	27	128	138	61	81	16	8	5.02	1.0	0.8	4.1
2012	28	115	125	54	73	14	7	5.02	1.0	0.7	3.9
2013	29	104	113	47	65	13	7	5.01	1.0	0.7	4.3
2014	30	93	102	43	57	11	6	5.04	1.0	0.6	4.0

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.