Roy Halladay
Age: 32
Team: TOR
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 13 |
9 |
205 |
211 |
16 |
40 |
152 |
8 |
88 |
81 |
3.56 |
29 |
29 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
158 |
179 |
36 |
113 |
16 |
8 |
4.33 |
| 20th |
170 |
187 |
37 |
123 |
16 |
8 |
4.13 |
| 30th |
182 |
195 |
38 |
133 |
16 |
8 |
3.91 |
| 40th |
193 |
203 |
39 |
142 |
16 |
8 |
3.73 |
| 50th |
205 |
211 |
40 |
152 |
16 |
8 |
3.56 |
| 60th |
209 |
211 |
39 |
157 |
15 |
8 |
3.44 |
| 70th |
214 |
212 |
39 |
161 |
15 |
7 |
3.32 |
| 80th |
219 |
211 |
38 |
167 |
14 |
7 |
3.12 |
| 90th |
224 |
209 |
37 |
173 |
12 |
6 |
2.89 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 49 |
4.7 |
21.1 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
32 |
205 |
210 |
40 |
161 |
14 |
8 |
3.49 |
1.0 |
4.8 |
21.0 |
| 2010 |
33 |
184 |
190 |
37 |
142 |
13 |
7 |
3.56 |
1.0 |
4.2 |
20.3 |
| 2011 |
34 |
165 |
172 |
34 |
126 |
12 |
6 |
3.63 |
1.0 |
3.6 |
19.3 |
| 2012 |
35 |
148 |
156 |
31 |
111 |
11 |
6 |
3.71 |
1.0 |
3.1 |
18.4 |
| 2013 |
36 |
133 |
141 |
28 |
98 |
10 |
5 |
3.74 |
1.0 |
2.8 |
17.8 |
| 2014 |
37 |
119 |
127 |
26 |
86 |
9 |
5 |
3.81 |
1.0 |
2.4 |
16.9 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.