Baseball Projection.com

Clayton Hamilton

Age: 27 Team: TEX
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 2 36 43 6 16 18 1 25 23 5.75 33 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 26 39 16 11 7 2 8.65
20th 29 40 16 13 7 1 7.45
30th 31 40 16 15 6 1 6.68
40th 34 42 16 16 6 1 6.09
50th 36 43 16 18 6 1 5.75
60th 37 42 16 19 5 1 5.11
70th 38 42 15 20 5 1 4.74
80th 40 41 14 22 4 0 4.05
90th 42 39 13 24 3 0 3.43

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 27 36 42 16 20 6 1 5.54 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 28 33 38 14 17 5 1 5.31 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 29 29 34 13 15 5 1 5.64 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 30 26 30 12 14 4 1 5.47 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 31 23 28 11 12 4 1 6.00 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 32 21 24 10 11 3 1 5.41 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.