Baseball Projection.com

Devern Hansack

Age: 31 Team: BOS

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
7	7	124	133	20	46	91	4	72	67	4.86	24	24

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	94	115	42	65	20	5	6.22
20th	102	119	43	72	20	5	5.74
30th	109	124	44	78	20	4	5.45
40th	117	128	45	85	20	4	5.08
50th	124	133	46	91	20	4	4.86
60th	127	133	45	94	19	4	4.61
70th	131	132	45	98	18	3	4.26
80th	134	131	44	102	17	3	4.03
90th	139	129	42	107	15	2	3.63

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

13 1.2 5.7

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 31 125 131 46 99 21 4 4.78 1.0 1.0 4.6

2010 32 112 118 42 88 19 4 4.84 1.0 0.8 4.1

2011 33 101 106 39 77 17 3 4.83 1.0 0.9 4.6

2012 34 90 96 36 68 15 3 4.95 1.0 0.6 3.3

2013 35 81 87 33 60 14 3 5.06 1.0 0.5 3.1

2014 36 73 78 30 53 12 2 4.96 1.0 0.5 3.4

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
13	1.2	5.7

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	31	125	131	46	99	21	4	4.78	1.0	1.0	4.6
2010	32	112	118	42	88	19	4	4.84	1.0	0.8	4.1
2011	33	101	106	39	77	17	3	4.83	1.0	0.9	4.6
2012	34	90	96	36	68	15	3	4.95	1.0	0.6	3.3
2013	35	81	87	33	60	14	3	5.06	1.0	0.5	3.1
2014	36	73	78	30	53	12	2	4.96	1.0	0.5	3.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.