Thomas Hanson
Age: 22
Team: ATL
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 5 |
6 |
98 |
95 |
17 |
55 |
92 |
7 |
60 |
56 |
5.14 |
20 |
20 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
73 |
84 |
50 |
65 |
18 |
8 |
6.90 |
| 20th |
79 |
87 |
51 |
72 |
18 |
8 |
6.38 |
| 30th |
86 |
89 |
52 |
79 |
17 |
7 |
5.76 |
| 40th |
92 |
92 |
54 |
85 |
17 |
7 |
5.38 |
| 50th |
98 |
95 |
55 |
92 |
17 |
7 |
5.14 |
| 60th |
102 |
94 |
54 |
96 |
16 |
6 |
4.59 |
| 70th |
105 |
93 |
53 |
100 |
15 |
6 |
4.29 |
| 80th |
108 |
92 |
52 |
104 |
14 |
5 |
3.92 |
| 90th |
112 |
89 |
50 |
110 |
12 |
4 |
3.46 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 7 |
0.7 |
3.5 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
22 |
97 |
99 |
55 |
86 |
18 |
7 |
5.43 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
23 |
88 |
88 |
48 |
79 |
16 |
6 |
5.23 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.4 |
| 2011 |
24 |
79 |
79 |
43 |
73 |
14 |
6 |
5.21 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.5 |
| 2012 |
25 |
72 |
71 |
38 |
66 |
13 |
5 |
5.10 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
| 2013 |
26 |
65 |
65 |
33 |
59 |
12 |
5 |
5.17 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.8 |
| 2014 |
27 |
58 |
59 |
29 |
53 |
11 |
4 |
5.24 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
1.3 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.