Baseball Projection.com

Daryl Harang

Age: 26 Team: TOR
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 4 54 59 10 33 32 3 38 35 5.83 51 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 39 54 31 20 11 4 8.77
20th 42 55 32 23 11 4 8.14
30th 46 57 32 26 11 3 7.24
40th 50 57 33 29 10 3 6.30
50th 54 59 33 32 10 3 5.83
60th 56 58 32 34 9 3 5.30
70th 58 58 31 36 9 2 4.81
80th 60 55 30 38 7 2 4.20
90th 63 53 29 41 6 1 3.43

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 26 54 58 33 34 9 3 5.63 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 27 49 53 29 30 8 2 5.55 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 28 44 48 26 27 7 2 5.58 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 29 39 44 23 24 7 2 5.93 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 30 35 39 21 21 6 2 5.85 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 31 32 35 19 19 5 2 5.63 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.