Danny Haren
Age: 28
Team: ARI
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 12 |
10 |
203 |
205 |
22 |
44 |
190 |
6 |
92 |
85 |
3.77 |
31 |
31 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
156 |
175 |
40 |
142 |
22 |
7 |
4.62 |
| 20th |
168 |
182 |
41 |
154 |
22 |
6 |
4.29 |
| 30th |
180 |
189 |
42 |
167 |
22 |
6 |
4.05 |
| 40th |
192 |
197 |
43 |
178 |
22 |
6 |
3.89 |
| 50th |
203 |
205 |
44 |
190 |
22 |
6 |
3.77 |
| 60th |
208 |
205 |
43 |
195 |
21 |
6 |
3.55 |
| 70th |
212 |
205 |
43 |
201 |
20 |
5 |
3.40 |
| 80th |
217 |
204 |
42 |
207 |
19 |
5 |
3.24 |
| 90th |
223 |
203 |
40 |
215 |
18 |
4 |
3.03 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 46 |
4.4 |
19.8 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
28 |
204 |
202 |
43 |
183 |
20 |
6 |
3.59 |
1.0 |
4.6 |
20.1 |
| 2010 |
29 |
184 |
183 |
38 |
163 |
19 |
5 |
3.63 |
1.0 |
4.0 |
19.4 |
| 2011 |
30 |
165 |
166 |
35 |
144 |
17 |
5 |
3.70 |
1.0 |
3.4 |
18.3 |
| 2012 |
31 |
148 |
149 |
32 |
128 |
15 |
4 |
3.69 |
1.0 |
3.1 |
18.4 |
| 2013 |
32 |
133 |
135 |
29 |
113 |
14 |
4 |
3.77 |
1.0 |
2.7 |
17.2 |
| 2014 |
33 |
119 |
122 |
27 |
100 |
12 |
4 |
3.82 |
1.0 |
2.4 |
16.9 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.