Baseball Projection.com

William Harris

Age: 24 Team: COL
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 3 41 46 8 23 31 2 29 27 5.93 38 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 29 42 22 20 9 3 9.31
20th 32 43 22 23 9 2 8.16
30th 35 44 22 26 9 2 7.46
40th 38 45 23 28 8 2 6.63
50th 41 46 23 31 8 2 5.93
60th 42 45 22 33 7 2 5.36
70th 43 45 22 34 7 2 5.23
80th 46 43 21 37 6 1 4.11
90th 48 41 19 40 5 1 3.56

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 41 44 23 31 7 2 5.48 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 25 37 41 20 28 7 1 5.66 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 26 33 37 18 25 6 1 5.70 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 27 30 34 16 22 6 1 5.87 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 28 27 30 14 20 5 1 5.62 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 29 25 27 12 18 4 1 5.19 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.