Baseball Projection.com

Jeremy Haynes

Age: 23 Team: LAA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
1 5 54 70 11 44 23 3 50 46 7.67 13 13

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 38 63 42 13 13 4 12.08
20th 42 64 42 16 12 4 10.29
30th 46 67 42 18 12 3 9.39
40th 50 68 43 21 11 3 8.28
50th 54 70 44 23 11 3 7.67
60th 56 69 43 25 10 3 6.91
70th 58 68 42 26 9 2 6.36
80th 61 66 40 29 8 2 5.46
90th 64 64 38 32 6 1 4.50

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 23 54 69 45 24 11 3 7.68 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 24 49 62 40 23 10 2 7.50 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 25 44 56 35 20 9 2 7.50 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 26 40 51 31 18 8 2 7.43 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 27 36 46 27 16 8 2 7.54 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 28 32 42 24 15 7 1 7.62 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.