Deunte Heath
Age: 23
Team: ATL
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 5 |
7 |
107 |
116 |
18 |
65 |
59 |
5 |
73 |
68 |
5.72 |
20 |
20 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
79 |
102 |
59 |
40 |
19 |
6 |
7.75 |
| 20th |
86 |
106 |
60 |
45 |
19 |
6 |
7.12 |
| 30th |
93 |
108 |
62 |
50 |
18 |
5 |
6.48 |
| 40th |
100 |
113 |
63 |
54 |
18 |
5 |
6.12 |
| 50th |
107 |
116 |
65 |
59 |
18 |
5 |
5.72 |
| 60th |
110 |
115 |
64 |
62 |
17 |
5 |
5.32 |
| 70th |
113 |
114 |
63 |
65 |
16 |
4 |
4.94 |
| 80th |
117 |
112 |
62 |
68 |
14 |
3 |
4.38 |
| 90th |
122 |
110 |
59 |
73 |
12 |
2 |
3.84 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 4 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
23 |
105 |
120 |
65 |
55 |
19 |
5 |
6.09 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
24 |
95 |
107 |
57 |
51 |
17 |
5 |
5.95 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
25 |
86 |
96 |
51 |
46 |
15 |
4 |
5.82 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
26 |
78 |
87 |
45 |
41 |
14 |
4 |
5.82 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
27 |
70 |
79 |
39 |
37 |
12 |
3 |
5.75 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
28 |
63 |
71 |
35 |
33 |
11 |
3 |
5.78 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.