Jeremy Hellickson
Age: 22
Team: TBA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 5 |
7 |
100 |
109 |
20 |
37 |
72 |
4 |
63 |
58 |
5.22 |
20 |
20 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
74 |
97 |
35 |
49 |
21 |
5 |
7.30 |
| 20th |
81 |
100 |
35 |
55 |
21 |
5 |
6.56 |
| 30th |
87 |
103 |
36 |
61 |
20 |
4 |
6.00 |
| 40th |
94 |
106 |
36 |
67 |
20 |
4 |
5.46 |
| 50th |
100 |
109 |
37 |
72 |
20 |
4 |
5.22 |
| 60th |
103 |
108 |
36 |
75 |
19 |
4 |
4.89 |
| 70th |
106 |
107 |
35 |
79 |
18 |
3 |
4.50 |
| 80th |
110 |
104 |
34 |
83 |
16 |
2 |
3.93 |
| 90th |
114 |
101 |
32 |
88 |
14 |
2 |
3.47 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 8 |
0.8 |
3.9 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
22 |
100 |
110 |
36 |
76 |
20 |
4 |
5.23 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
1.7 |
| 2010 |
23 |
90 |
99 |
32 |
70 |
18 |
4 |
5.23 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.4 |
| 2011 |
24 |
82 |
88 |
28 |
65 |
16 |
3 |
5.01 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.5 |
| 2012 |
25 |
73 |
80 |
25 |
58 |
15 |
3 |
5.20 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
| 2013 |
26 |
66 |
72 |
22 |
52 |
13 |
3 |
5.11 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.8 |
| 2014 |
27 |
60 |
65 |
19 |
47 |
12 |
2 |
5.01 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.7 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.