Alex Hinshaw
Age: 26
Team: SFN
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
3 |
55 |
45 |
5 |
33 |
65 |
3 |
25 |
23 |
3.76 |
48 |
0 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
41 |
41 |
31 |
45 |
6 |
4 |
5.71 |
| 20th |
44 |
42 |
31 |
50 |
6 |
4 |
5.11 |
| 30th |
48 |
43 |
32 |
55 |
6 |
3 |
4.50 |
| 40th |
52 |
44 |
32 |
60 |
5 |
3 |
3.98 |
| 50th |
55 |
45 |
33 |
65 |
5 |
3 |
3.76 |
| 60th |
57 |
44 |
32 |
68 |
4 |
3 |
3.16 |
| 70th |
59 |
44 |
32 |
71 |
4 |
2 |
3.05 |
| 80th |
61 |
42 |
30 |
74 |
3 |
2 |
2.66 |
| 90th |
64 |
40 |
29 |
79 |
2 |
1 |
2.11 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 6 |
0.6 |
3.0 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
26 |
55 |
46 |
33 |
62 |
6 |
3 |
3.98 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
1.7 |
| 2010 |
27 |
50 |
42 |
29 |
56 |
5 |
2 |
3.84 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
1.8 |
| 2011 |
28 |
45 |
38 |
26 |
50 |
5 |
2 |
3.95 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.5 |
| 2012 |
29 |
40 |
34 |
23 |
44 |
4 |
2 |
3.91 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
| 2013 |
30 |
36 |
31 |
21 |
39 |
4 |
2 |
4.08 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
1.2 |
| 2014 |
31 |
32 |
28 |
19 |
35 |
3 |
2 |
4.06 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
1.3 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.