Trey Hodges
Age: 31
Team: TEX
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
6 |
82 |
101 |
15 |
49 |
45 |
6 |
65 |
60 |
6.59 |
18 |
18 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
61 |
88 |
44 |
30 |
16 |
7 |
8.85 |
| 20th |
67 |
91 |
45 |
34 |
15 |
6 |
7.79 |
| 30th |
72 |
94 |
46 |
38 |
15 |
6 |
7.38 |
| 40th |
77 |
98 |
48 |
41 |
15 |
6 |
7.01 |
| 50th |
82 |
101 |
49 |
45 |
15 |
6 |
6.59 |
| 60th |
84 |
101 |
48 |
47 |
14 |
6 |
6.21 |
| 70th |
87 |
101 |
48 |
49 |
14 |
5 |
5.90 |
| 80th |
90 |
99 |
47 |
52 |
12 |
5 |
5.30 |
| 90th |
93 |
97 |
45 |
55 |
11 |
4 |
4.74 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2 |
0.2 |
1.3 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
31 |
83 |
97 |
49 |
49 |
14 |
6 |
6.14 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
32 |
75 |
88 |
45 |
43 |
12 |
5 |
6.12 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
33 |
67 |
79 |
42 |
38 |
11 |
5 |
6.29 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
34 |
60 |
71 |
38 |
34 |
10 |
4 |
6.32 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
35 |
54 |
64 |
35 |
30 |
9 |
4 |
6.40 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
36 |
48 |
58 |
32 |
26 |
8 |
3 |
6.54 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.