Adam Howard
Age: 25
Team: ARI
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
8 |
101 |
119 |
20 |
49 |
56 |
7 |
74 |
68 |
6.06 |
22 |
22 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
75 |
104 |
45 |
38 |
21 |
8 |
8.16 |
| 20th |
82 |
107 |
46 |
43 |
20 |
8 |
7.46 |
| 30th |
89 |
111 |
47 |
47 |
20 |
7 |
6.78 |
| 40th |
95 |
115 |
48 |
52 |
20 |
7 |
6.44 |
| 50th |
101 |
119 |
49 |
56 |
20 |
7 |
6.06 |
| 60th |
104 |
118 |
48 |
59 |
19 |
7 |
5.71 |
| 70th |
107 |
118 |
47 |
61 |
18 |
6 |
5.30 |
| 80th |
111 |
116 |
46 |
65 |
17 |
5 |
4.78 |
| 90th |
115 |
114 |
44 |
69 |
15 |
4 |
4.38 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 5 |
0.5 |
2.6 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
25 |
102 |
117 |
48 |
54 |
19 |
7 |
5.80 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
26 |
92 |
106 |
42 |
48 |
17 |
6 |
5.76 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
27 |
83 |
95 |
37 |
43 |
15 |
6 |
5.69 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
28 |
75 |
87 |
33 |
38 |
14 |
5 |
5.77 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
29 |
67 |
78 |
29 |
34 |
12 |
5 |
5.75 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
30 |
61 |
70 |
27 |
30 |
11 |
4 |
5.67 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.