J.P. Howell
Age: 26
Team: TBA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 5 |
3 |
76 |
68 |
6 |
28 |
83 |
3 |
31 |
29 |
3.43 |
64 |
0 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
58 |
60 |
25 |
61 |
7 |
3 |
4.66 |
| 20th |
62 |
61 |
26 |
67 |
6 |
3 |
4.21 |
| 30th |
67 |
63 |
27 |
72 |
6 |
3 |
3.90 |
| 40th |
71 |
66 |
27 |
78 |
6 |
3 |
3.68 |
| 50th |
76 |
68 |
28 |
83 |
6 |
3 |
3.43 |
| 60th |
77 |
68 |
28 |
86 |
6 |
3 |
3.39 |
| 70th |
80 |
67 |
27 |
88 |
5 |
3 |
3.04 |
| 80th |
82 |
67 |
27 |
92 |
5 |
2 |
2.85 |
| 90th |
84 |
66 |
26 |
95 |
4 |
2 |
2.57 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 10 |
1.2 |
5.7 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
26 |
76 |
69 |
27 |
87 |
6 |
3 |
3.44 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
5.5 |
| 2010 |
27 |
68 |
62 |
24 |
78 |
5 |
3 |
3.42 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
5.5 |
| 2011 |
28 |
61 |
56 |
21 |
69 |
5 |
3 |
3.51 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
5.0 |
| 2012 |
29 |
55 |
51 |
19 |
62 |
4 |
2 |
3.45 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
5.1 |
| 2013 |
30 |
50 |
46 |
17 |
55 |
4 |
2 |
3.47 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
4.7 |
| 2014 |
31 |
44 |
42 |
16 |
49 |
4 |
2 |
3.77 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.7 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.