Baseball Projection.com

Tim Hudson

Age: 33 Team: ATL

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
10	7	154	160	12	47	93	5	72	67	3.92	24	24

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	118	137	42	68	13	6	4.88
20th	127	143	43	74	13	5	4.61
30th	137	148	44	81	12	5	4.20
40th	145	154	46	87	12	5	4.10
50th	154	160	47	93	12	5	3.92
60th	157	160	47	96	11	5	3.73
70th	161	161	46	99	11	4	3.58
80th	165	160	45	103	10	4	3.33
90th	170	157	44	108	8	3	2.96

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

25 2.4 11.0

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 33 152 165 47 87 12 5 4.13 1.0 2.5 10.9

2010 34 137 149 43 76 11 4 4.15 1.0 2.2 10.6

2011 35 123 135 39 67 10 4 4.22 1.0 1.9 10.1

2012 36 110 122 36 59 9 3 4.30 1.0 1.5 8.9

2013 37 99 110 33 52 8 3 4.32 1.0 1.4 9.2

2014 38 89 99 30 46 7 3 4.34 1.0 1.2 8.8

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
25	2.4	11.0

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	33	152	165	47	87	12	5	4.13	1.0	2.5	10.9
2010	34	137	149	43	76	11	4	4.15	1.0	2.2	10.6
2011	35	123	135	39	67	10	4	4.22	1.0	1.9	10.1
2012	36	110	122	36	59	9	3	4.30	1.0	1.5	8.9
2013	37	99	110	33	52	8	3	4.32	1.0	1.4	9.2
2014	38	89	99	30	46	7	3	4.34	1.0	1.2	8.8

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.