Philip Hughes
Age: 23
Team: NYA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 6 |
4 |
83 |
82 |
8 |
31 |
68 |
3 |
40 |
37 |
4.01 |
17 |
17 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
62 |
72 |
29 |
48 |
9 |
4 |
5.52 |
| 20th |
67 |
75 |
29 |
53 |
9 |
4 |
5.10 |
| 30th |
73 |
77 |
30 |
58 |
8 |
3 |
4.56 |
| 40th |
78 |
80 |
30 |
63 |
8 |
3 |
4.27 |
| 50th |
83 |
82 |
31 |
68 |
8 |
3 |
4.01 |
| 60th |
85 |
81 |
30 |
71 |
7 |
3 |
3.71 |
| 70th |
87 |
81 |
30 |
74 |
7 |
2 |
3.52 |
| 80th |
90 |
80 |
29 |
77 |
6 |
2 |
3.10 |
| 90th |
93 |
78 |
27 |
81 |
5 |
1 |
2.81 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 17 |
1.6 |
7.4 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
23 |
83 |
80 |
32 |
72 |
8 |
3 |
3.92 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
6.7 |
| 2010 |
24 |
75 |
71 |
28 |
67 |
7 |
3 |
3.80 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
7.4 |
| 2011 |
25 |
68 |
64 |
25 |
60 |
6 |
3 |
3.73 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
7.6 |
| 2012 |
26 |
61 |
58 |
22 |
54 |
6 |
2 |
3.80 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
7.3 |
| 2013 |
27 |
55 |
52 |
19 |
48 |
5 |
2 |
3.70 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
7.4 |
| 2014 |
28 |
49 |
48 |
17 |
43 |
5 |
2 |
3.95 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
6.1 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.