Baseball Projection.com

Tommy Hunter

Age: 22 Team: TEX

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
6	7	110	130	18	38	58	4	71	66	5.4	19	19

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	82	114	36	39	19	5	7.24
20th	89	118	36	44	19	5	6.67
30th	97	121	37	49	18	4	5.94
40th	103	126	37	53	18	4	5.68
50th	110	130	38	58	18	4	5.40
60th	113	129	37	61	17	4	5.02
70th	117	128	36	64	16	3	4.62
80th	121	126	35	67	14	2	4.17
90th	125	123	33	72	12	2	3.67

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

11 1.0 4.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 22 111 126 38 63 17 4 5.03 1.0 0.7 2.9

2010 23 101 112 34 58 15 4 4.87 1.0 0.8 3.7

2011 24 91 100 30 54 13 4 4.77 1.0 0.8 4.1

2012 25 82 90 26 49 12 3 4.73 1.0 0.8 4.5

2013 26 74 82 23 43 11 3 4.79 1.0 0.7 4.3

2014 27 66 74 21 39 10 3 4.91 1.0 0.5 3.4

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
11	1.0	4.8

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	22	111	126	38	63	17	4	5.03	1.0	0.7	2.9
2010	23	101	112	34	58	15	4	4.87	1.0	0.8	3.7
2011	24	91	100	30	54	13	4	4.77	1.0	0.8	4.1
2012	25	82	90	26	49	12	3	4.73	1.0	0.8	4.5
2013	26	74	82	23	43	11	3	4.79	1.0	0.7	4.3
2014	27	66	74	21	39	10	3	4.91	1.0	0.5	3.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.